StockFetcher Forums · Filter Exchange · Here is a Filter using ONLY the relationship of VXV to VXX to Buy and Sell SPY or VXX<< >>Post Follow-up
SAFeTRADE
644 posts
msg #144722
Ignore SAFeTRADE
modified
9/21/2018 12:45:54 PM

/*Important Please read https://sixfigureinvesting.com/2010/12/volatility-tickers/*/

/*In February 2018 Barclays added two new funds VXXB & VXZB, to replace VXX & VXZ which will mature in January 2019 and there was one subtraction with the unexpected and dramatic termination of VelocityShares’ XIV due to the violent moves on February 5th, 2018.*/


Fetcher[symlist(spy,spxl,vxx)
set{vxxc, ind(vxx,close)}
set{vixc, ind(^vix,close)}
set{vxvc, ind(vxv,close)}
set{spyc, ind(spy,close)}
set{spxl, ind(spxl,close)}
set{vix3, ind(^VIX3M,close)}

set{vxvvix, vxvc / vixc}
set{vixavg, cema(vxvvix,5)}
set{vxvvxx, vxvc / vxxc}
set{vxxavg, cema(vxvvxx,5)}



set{riskon, count(vxvvxx > or = to vxxavg,1)}
set{riskof, count(vxvvxx < or = to vxxavg,1)}

set{risk_on, count(vxvvxx crossed above vxxavg,1)}
set{risk_of, count(vxvvxx crossed below vxxavg,1)}

draw ma(5)
draw ma(20)

draw vxvvxx on plot vxxavg
draw riskon
draw riskof
draw macd(3,6,3)
draw Bollinger %B(8,2.0) line at .5
draw Bollinger %B(8,2.0) line at .74
draw rsi(5) line at 51

add column risk_on
add column riskon{riskon=long_spy or short_vxx}
add column separator
add column risk_of
add column riskof{riskof=long_vxx or short_spy}

chart-length 6 months
]






davesaint86
725 posts
msg #144729
Ignore davesaint86
9/22/2018 10:42:39 AM

Two thumbs up!

Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #144732
Ignore Cheese
9/22/2018 1:31:38 PM

@ SAFeTRADE

Thank you for showing the use of OR in stockfetcher, and for the Vance Harwood's link.

Honest question: If the purpose is to better trade SPY, why would we want to detour
through volatility when your three chosen indicators macd, %b and rsi did an excellent
job in giving the same (or even faster) signals than the derived volatility-based signals?

SAFeTRADE
644 posts
msg #144738
Ignore SAFeTRADE
9/22/2018 4:37:36 PM

Because SPY and volatility as represented by VXX are so inextricably linked that I like to see
when volatility is at a safe level for an entry point into SPY or SPXL I did not mention a good
EXIT is when RSI(2) crosses below 40. Can add a Column for Reversersi(2,40) to see at what
price that would be.

Cheese
1,374 posts
msg #144739
Ignore Cheese
modified
9/22/2018 10:24:34 PM

@ SAFeTRADE

Thank you !

More newbie follow-up questions: How do you handle witching days, and the few days before and after witching?
For example, last Friday Sep 21 Quad Witching day, when both SPY and $VIX futures contango dropped
for their own reasons, did you still rely on the same filter, or did you look at additional ratios like $spx:$vix and spy:vxx ?

Glad to have you as a resident $VIX expert with StockFetcher forum.

SAFeTRADE
644 posts
msg #144741
Ignore SAFeTRADE
9/23/2018 7:50:04 AM

Expert, NOT. Observer, YES. I try not to over think. ANALysis Paralysis is deadly.

VenturaTrader
43 posts
msg #144745
Ignore VenturaTrader
9/23/2018 12:07:25 PM

Thank you very much! Larry Connors has a similar strategy using RSI2 on the VIX to trade the S & P 500.

I like what you have done! If you put SVXY on the chart you really have something. Caution: SVXY is about the same as XIV which as we all know blew up in early February. I will conduct some manual back-testing with SVXY in the next few days.

Mike


SAFeTRADE
644 posts
msg #144748
Ignore SAFeTRADE
9/24/2018 12:03:18 AM

Yes on RSI(2) . One can buy SPY when the VXX RSI(2) crosses below 30 and the VXX close crosses below ma(5). Exit SPY trade when SPY RSI(2) crossed below 40.

StockFetcher Forums · Filter Exchange · Here is a Filter using ONLY the relationship of VXV to VXX to Buy and Sell SPY or VXX<< >>Post Follow-up

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